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The "Four Arrows" of Policy Stabilize the Economy
The Political Bureau meeting of the CPC Central Committee, held on September 26, proposed "increasing efforts to launch incremental policies." Finance Minister Lan Fo'an announced four items at the State Council Information Office press conference focusing on the capital market, local government debt, private economy, and property market. Fiscal incremental policy tools have greatly boosted market sentiment and enhanced people's confidence.
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A-shares have experienced sudden changes, and real estate has been among the top gainers
On October 31, the three major A-share stock indexes opened with mixed gains and losses. After a brief retracement in early trading, it strengthened slightly. The GEM index once rose by more than 2% during the session, and the gains narrowed slightly before noon. It maintained a high and volatile trend in the afternoon, and individual stocks showed a general upward trend. On the market, real estate was among the top gainers.
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Huawei's industrial chain is collectively strengthening
On Wednesday, the three major A-share indexes continued their adjustment trend, with the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other indices bucking the trend and strengthening. The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower in early trading and bottomed out in the afternoon. The GEM index fluctuated and weakened in early trading, but gradually strengthened in the afternoon. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index reported 3266.24 points, down 0.61%; the Shenzhen Component Index reported 10530.85 points, down 0.12%; the GEM Index reported 2151.51 points, down 1.18%. The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges' trading volume for the whole day was 1.85 trillion, a decrease of 215.5 billion from the previous trading day. On the market, chip stocks started to adjust, with individual stocks falling more than rising. Hongmeng led the gains, and Huawei concept stocks strengthened across the board.
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Performance dropped, liquor plummeted! Consumption downturn
Consumer stock performance declined. The third quarterly report has been disclosed and some leading stocks have fallen significantly. Yanghe shares in the liquor sector fell 5%, closing in the morning with a market value of 121.1 billion yuan, along with its third-quarter net profit hitting the lowest since the same period in 2011. The home appliance index fell by more than 1%, with beauty and care, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors leading the decline.
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Middle East Accelerates Purchases of Chinese Assets
On October 30, Saudi Arabia’s first ETF that invests in the Hong Kong stock market, the Albilad CSOP MSCI Hong Kong China Stock ETF, was officially listed on the Saudi Exchange. In just half an hour after its listing, its trading volume reached RMB 1.5836 million, and its activity was ahead of other ETFs on the Saudi Arabian exchange market. At the China (Shenzhen)-UAE Industrial and Investment Cooperation Seminar, 19 representatives of listed companies from advanced manufacturing, digital economy, energy and chemicals, biomedicine, and other industries conducted "one-on-one" roadshow exchanges with 7 UAE institutions to discuss Opportunities for collaboration. As financial cooperation continues to deepen, Middle Eastern funds are accelerating their purchases of Chinese assets.
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Goldman Sachs is optimistic about Chinese stock market 2-3 months after the US election
Global financial markets are "twitched" by the upcoming U.S. election, and Chinese investors are no exception. The results of the U.S. election will have a huge impact on China's stock market trend. If former President Trump wins, there could be a "knee-jerk reaction" in markets. Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recently predicted that Chinese stocks will rise within two to three months after the U.S. presidential election.
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Stock buybacks, holdings increase, and refinancing continues to be implemented
Repurchases, holdings, and refinancing have opened up a new path for market value management of listed companies. After the stock repurchase and holding increase loan policy was released, repurchase loans and shareholder holding increase loans for A-share listed companies are being implemented one after another, and repurchase and holding increase and loan projects are gradually becoming "normalized" in the capital market. According to incomplete statistics from a Securities Times reporter, more than 40 companies have disclosed the use of special loan funds to repurchase shares or increase shareholder holdings. Analysts believe that the introduction of the stock buyback and holdings increase loan policy will help the long-term stable development of the A-share market.
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Cancellation-type repurchases "get together"
On October 29, 1,477 listed companies released A-share buyback plans during the year, setting a record high. Some listed companies have changed repurchase purposes and plan to cancel the repurchased shares, resulting in the "canceling" of "cancellation-type" repurchase plans.
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Indian photovoltaic giant surges over 55% on first day of listing
On October 28, local time, Waaree Energies, India’s largest photovoltaic module manufacturer, was listed in Mumbai. According to a report by the Securities Times on the 29th, the company's stock price surged 75% during the session that day. As of closing, Waaree Energies' share price rose 55.62%, with a total market value of nearly $8 billion.
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Gold craze, what to think about it
FX168 Financial News (Asia-Pacific) News Recently, as gold continues to rise and sets new historical highs, analysts pointed out that the price of gold is expected to continue to rise and even exceed US$3,000. Yesterday, the Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a notice saying that precious metal price fluctuations have increased significantly recently and market risks have significantly intensified. All member units remind investors to invest rationally.
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Professionals debate the critical moment of A-shares
Since a package of incremental favorable policies was released in late September, the A-share market has continued to rise, and market transactions have picked up significantly. However, the ensuing wide fluctuations and sector rotation have left many investors confused. At the critical moment when the market is diverging, many well-known investors and fund managers from the public and private equity industries have spoken out intensively. Combining the structured interpretation of this round of the A-share market and their judgments on policies, fundamentals, and other factors, It is generally believed that as market activity increases, the main direction will attract a large number of funds, and the market will enter a benign slow bull state.
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Incremental funds are good for the A-share market
On October 21, the A-share market fell back after rising high. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index rose slightly, the Shenzhen Composite Component Index rose by more than 1%, and the BSE 50 Index rose by more than 16%, reaching a record high. Over 3,700 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, 190 stocks reached their daily limit, and the market turnover reached 2.23 trillion yuan. From October 1st to October 18th, financing funds, stock ETF funds, and repurchases of listed companies have all performed positively, with a total net inflow of nearly 300 billion yuan. Analysts believe that the above-expected policies have brought incremental funds to the stock market and promoted the restoration of the valuation of the A-share market. The market may fluctuate under the influence of overseas risks, but the medium-term upward direction remains unchanged.
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The price of gold is approaching 800 yuan/gram. Will it continue to rise?
Spot gold and COMEX gold futures broke historical highs, touching the $2,700/ounce mark for the first time, and gold jewelry quotes approached 800 yuan/gram. The price of gold once again ushered in a moment of glory. Investors are paying more and more attention to gold. The price of gold may still have room to rise, but investment needs to be cautious.
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Property market spring is coming
The State Council Information Office(SCIO) held a press conference at 10 o'clock this morning (17th). Ni Hong, Minister of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, said that the Party Central Committee attaches great importance to the stable and healthy development of the real estate market. Since the introduction of the new real estate policy at the end of September, the number of new house visits, transactions, and contract signings in various places has increased significantly, second-hand house transaction volume has increased significantly, and the property market has fully recovered. Transactions in the real estate market have been significantly active, benefiting upstream and downstream of the industrial chain more. The types of building materials in the futures market and the real estate sector in the capital market have become the leaders in the market rebound.
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Ministry of Finance releases major industry signal
On October 12, at a press conference held by the State Council, Finance Minister Lan Fo'an and three deputy finance ministers announced a package of incremental fiscal policies on the spot to resolve the existing hidden debt and support the property market to stop falling and stabilize. The market focuses on stabilizing growth, expanding domestic demand, minimizing risks, implementing precise policies, and making targeted efforts. Strive for the stable development of real estate and anticipate the outbreak of the Hongmeng Concept. The Ministry of Finance still retains large incremental policy space, mentioning that the central government still has large room for borrowing and deficit increase.
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CSI 300 rises another 50%, Jeff deGraaf is bullish
Shanghai and Shenzhen rose 35% in 10 days. Despite a slight decline, market Wall Street veteran Jeff deGraaf is still optimistic about the rising prospects of China's A-shares, predicting an increase of more than 50%. Investors who have sold a large-scale China Stock hedge fund will regret it.
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How do brokerages respond to the A-share market outlook in the fourth quarter?
After the shock adjustments in the first three quarters and the short-term surge in the past half month, we remain cautiously optimistic about the judgments on the A-share strategy for 2024 recently released by multiple brokerages. In terms of specific configuration, the “dumbbell strategy” that takes into account both flexible growth direction and high-dividend dividend sectors has been unanimously recognized. The A-share market recovery has slowed down, and the incremental financial market outlook is highly anticipated.
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China's assets explosion and the high record global capital influx hit
Last week, Chinese assets rose across the board. The RMB has appreciated sharply. A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and Chinese concept stocks have surged. Hedge funds have poured in first, and long-term funds may have to increase their positions in the future. Global funds have fully increased their positions in Chinese stocks. Choice data shows that last week, the net inflow of stock ETFs exceeded 55 billion yuan, and the net inflow of main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges exceeded 34 billion yuan.
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Will policies boost confidence and the A-share market live up to expectations?
On September 24, the central bank, the State Administration of Financial Supervision, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission introduced financial support for high-quality economic development and published combined benefits, igniting enthusiasm for long-term investment in the capital market. On September 25, A-share reached a five-month high with trading volume exceeding 1.16 trillion yuan.
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Is the A-share market at its lowest point? Insights from historical data and future projections.
On September 24, the A-share market exploded, with the Shanghai Composite Index soaring more than 4%, the largest single-day increase since 2021; the ChiNext Index soaring more than 5%, the second largest single-day increase since 2019. The Shenwan primary industry index rose across the board and multiple sector indices are increasing by more than 5%. Some institutions believe that the current A-share market may have bottomed out, and recommend actively paying attention to oversold low-valuation and steady growth targets.
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